Analysis

Foto del nombre de FMI afuera del edificio de FMI

El informe del FMI ignora que en Nicaragua hay una “captura del Estado”

La reciente declaración final del equipo técnico del Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) pone de relieve hechos e inconsistencias en la redacción del documento, pero también crea la oportunidad para que la misión del FMI tome en serio su propio diagnóstico y recomendaciones y realice una evaluación sobre las vulnerabilidades de la gobernabilidad y confirme que en Nicaragua se ha producido una “captura del Estado.” De otra forma las consecuencias de su aval al régimen Ortega-Murillo serán devastadoras para los nicaragüenses y para la credibilidad del FMI.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Photo of multiple currencies

Family Remittances from Latin America and the Caribbean 2023: Outbound Transfers

On November 1, 2023, the Inter-American Dialogue released the presentation “Family Remittances from Latin America and the Caribbean 2023: Outbound Transfers” that contains research from Manuel Orozco, director of the Migration, Remittances, and Development program.

Manuel Orozco

Presentations ˙ ˙ Download the Slides

Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2019. Remittance volume and growth. Political instability. Migration and development.

Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2019: Emerging Challenges

This report analyzes trends in remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2019 and explores the factors related to slowing remittance growth. Family remittances to the region grew by approximately 8% compared to 2018 and totaled nearly US$100 billion, which stands in contrast to the region’s slower economic growth of 0.6%.

Manuel Orozco

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Picture of Manuel Orozco Video

Covid-19 Impacts Migrant Vulnerabilities and Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean

Manuel Orozco was interviewed on CGTN America about the impact of the United States’ Covid-19 related economic crisis on Latin American migrants and remittances sent to Latin America. “Migrant workers all over the world are losing their jobs, and perhaps the job losses are higher than for the native-born population. One of the consequences is that migrants feel constrained from continuing sending money to their families.”

Manuel Orozco

Interviews ˙ ˙ CGTN America

Money transfers to Venezuela

Money Transfers to Venezuela: Remittance Flows Amidst Evolving Foreign Exchange

This report offers an overview of how foreign currency regulations affect money transfers to Venezuela in addition to describing and explaining Venezuelan migrant remitting behavior in six migrant host countries. It also provides an estimate of the aggregate volume of remittances sent to Venezuela.

Manuel Orozco, Kathryn Klaas

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Picture of Manuel Orozco being interviewed by Ivan Olivares. Video

Se estima una caída de 300 millones de dólares en remesas a Nicaragua

Manuel Orozco fue entrevistado por el periodista de Confidencial, Iván Olivares para hablar sobre las consecuencias de la pandemia en los flujos de remesas. Orozco calcula una pérdida de remesas de unos 300 millones de dólares que afectarán a unas 600 mil familias nicaragüenses.

Manuel Orozco, Iván Olivares

Interviews ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Trabajadores del Estado y simpatizantes orteguistas participan en una actividad del caudillo sandinista Daniel Ortega

El vacío de poder y el secuestro de los servidores públicos

Desde inicios de 2020, Nicaragua se ha estancado ante un vacío de poder que se ha agravado por la crisis de la pandemia, acompañado de un empate político prolongado entre el régimen y los actores del movimiento opositor de la Coalición Nacional.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Un hombre aborda un bus en Managua en medio de la epidemia del coronavirus

El impacto de la pandemia sobre las remesas en Nicaragua y América Latina

La pandemia causada por el Covid-19 está creando estragos y consecuencias económicas en todo el mundo. En 2020, se proyecta caída de -5 por ciento de las remesas en Nicaragua, recibiendo $75 millones menos, con una caída mayor del turismo, la economía caerá en -2 por ciento.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Black and white globe

Migrants and the Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Remittances

This analysis offers a glimpse of the potential impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on US immigrants and family remittances. Past events involving worldwide crises can offer insight as to how this pandemic will likely affect remittance transfers. Considering migrants’ financial and health vulnerabilities as well as the forecast recession, a conservative estimate shows that remittances will register a -3 percent decline in 2020 relative to 2019, from $77 billion to $75 billion.

Manuel Orozco

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The Remittance Marketplace in 2019

The Remittance Marketplace in 2019: The Growing Role of Digital Payments

This report analyzes the role of money transfer intermediaries on migrants sending remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean. We look at the current modernization of the payments industry, specifically as it relates to digital payments, analyzes trends in transfer costs, and discusses the proposed changes to the ‘Remittance Rule,’ including the consequences they may have on remittance senders.

Manuel Orozco, Kathryn Klaas, Nicole Ledesma

Reports ˙ ˙ Download Report