Analysis

Photo: U.S. Government.

Is Congress Likely to Approve the USMCA This Year?

What is the outlook and most-likely timeline for advancing USMCA in the 116th Congress?

Carla A. Hills, Arturo Sarukhán, Andrés Rozental, Pascale Siegel, Miyako Yerick, Christopher Sands

Latin America Advisor ˙

Video

Venezuela: Between Hope and Uncertainty

On February 4, the Inter-American Dialogue hosted an event titled “Venezuela: Between Hope and Uncertainty” to discuss the possible scenarios in which the Venezuelan crisis might unfold.

Pedro Garmendia

Event Summaries ˙

Fact Sheet: Family Remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean in 2018

Family remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean experienced nearly 10% growth in 2018, one of the largest growth rates in the past 10 years. Growth in remittances stands in stark contrast to the sluggish 1.9% economic growth rate for the region. The countries with the highest remittance growth rates in 2018 included Haiti, Colombia, Brazil, Guatemala and Paraguay.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙

Video

¡Ayuda humanitaria ya!: Crece la tensión en la frontera entre Colombia y Venezuela

El analista político Michael Shifter, presidente del centro de análisis Diálogo Interamericano, explicó que la negativa de Maduro de no recibir ayuda de EE.UU. viene de la época del fallecido expresidente Hugo Chávez, quien tampoco admitió semejante apoyo ante el temor a una “intervención militar”. Shifter dialogó con la Voz de América.

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ VOA

Reviving Venezuela’s Oil Industry Is Easier Said Than Done

Even if Juan Guaido or another opposition figure finally takes the reins and starts fixing the oil sector in Venezuela, it will take years before oil exports can provide the economic boost needed to pull the nation out of the morass. Venezuela’s oil industry has been severely damaged, and there are questions about the long-term economic viability of its oil fields. Venezuelans will likely be disappointed with the pace of the economic turnaround under any new government—a risk that poses a real threat to political stability. Expectations ought to be tempered.

Lisa Viscidi, Nate Graham

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ World Politics Review

Video

Juan Guaidó: US backs opposition leader as Venezuela president

BBC’s Beyond 100 Days reported on the Venezuelan political crisis. Inter-American Dialogue president Michael Shifter analyzed Juan Guaidó’s swearing in as interim president, as well as the role that the military and external actors will play in Venezuela’s democratic transition. Michael Shitfer’s comments:  “We have two governments in Venezuela –…

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ BBC

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Crisis in Venezuela: What lies ahead for Juan Guaidó?

CGTN’s Mike Walter spoke with the President of the Inter-American Dialogue, Michael Shifter, about the crisis in Venezuela. Among the topics discussed were Juan Guaidó’s swearing in as interim president, the role that the military and outside actors will play, and how the crisis might unravel. Comments by Michael Shifter: …

Michael Shifter

Interviews ˙ ˙ CGTN

The Path to Stability in Venezuela is Narrow Indeed

Juan Guaidó’s proclamation that he is interim president of Venezuela, which has won the full support of the United States and other countries, opens a new phase in the long crisis of that Latin American nation. For the first time in years, dictator Nicolás Maduro is on the defensive, and Venezuelans are hopeful that change is possible. But it would be naïve to think this means the end of the chavista regime.

Bruno Binetti

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ New York Daily News

Video

Atentado en Bogotá, Trump y el Congreso, el Chapo Guzmán

En esta edición de Club de Prensa, el presidente del Diálogo Interamericano, Michael Shifter, analizó temas como el reciente atentado con un coche bomba en Bogotá, las recientes acusaciones contra el presidente de los Estados Unidos Donald Trump, el reporte del Departamento de Salud y Servicios Humanos sobre la separación…

Michael Shifter

˙ NTN24