Analysis

Foto del Palacio Nacional en Managua, Nicaragua

¿Ya pasó todo? Nicaragua 45 años más tarde…

La Nicaragua de julio de 2024 es muy diferente a lo que comúnmente se ha visto y vivido en los últimos diez años. Es el lugar en que ha desembocado un estado policial, corrupto, oportunista y mentiroso. A 45 años no se celebra un triunfo, se revive un Déjà vu.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Photo of Honduran migrants

Central American Migration: In Numbers

On June 12, 2024, the Inter-American Dialogue released the presentation “Central American Migration: In Numbers” that contains research from Manuel Orozco, director of the Migration, Remittances, and Development program. The presentation discusses key data points on migration from the Central America sub-region and contextualizes these trends within historical trends.

Manuel Orozco

Presentations ˙ ˙ Download the Presentation

Group of refugees standing in a barren landscape, wearing backpacks. Harsh lighting casts long shadows, symbolizing displacement and crisis. A diverse and resilient community, united in their journey

A Foreign Policy Problem: Ten Facts About Migration to the US

The following presentation by Manuel Orozco, director of the Migration, Remittances, and Development program, identifies ten key facts that are important to understand the current debate over immigration to the US.

Manuel Orozco

Presentations ˙ ˙ Download the Slides

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Women, Remittances, and Financial Inclusion in Guatemala

On May 24, 2024, the Inter-American Dialogue released the report “Women, Remittances, and Financial Inclusion in Guatemala.” The report, produced by Manuel Orozco, director of the Migration, Remittances, and Development program, provides a financial characterization of women in Guatemala, explores barriers to financial inclusion, and outlines a path toward greater financial independence.

Manuel Orozco

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Foto de las banderas de Nicaragua y Rusia

Ortega y Putin, la dependencia de Nicaragua en Rusia

La relación entre Nicaragua y Rusia se resume en un juego de personalidades autoritarias con ilusiones de grandeza. Daniel Ortega, un animal político primitivamente autoritario, está obsesionado con entregarse a Rusia y Vladimir Putin, como una necesidad existencial. Mientras tanto el dictador ruso acepta el cortejo del dictador criollo para alimentar su ego, su perenne lucha, anacrónica, por recobrar lo que no existe, una nación que perdió décadas atrás su silla imperial.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

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Taraciuk Broner: “Venezuela has been in crisis for a long time, but it has not always made headlines”

Tamara Taraciuk Broner, director of the Rule of Law program, participated in the podcast “Where Did the Migrant Crisis Come From?” on In the Room with Peter Bergen. She discussed the context and causes of the Venezuelan humanitarian and migration crisis, as well as the use of the lifting of US sanctions as leverage for fair elections.

Tamara Taraciuk Broner

Podcasts ˙ ˙ In the Room with Peter Bergen

Foto de manifestantes en las protestas en Nicaragua de 2018

Tres desafíos para la transición democrática frente a la sucesión dinástica

El consenso global, dentro y fuera del país, es que el principal objetivo de Nicaragua como nación es derrotar el proyecto de sucesión dinástica del régimen actual, para abrir el camino hacia una transición democrática. La realidad obliga a diferenciar entre la lucha por alcanzar el cambio político, y cómo gobernar democráticamente. El denominador común, sin embargo, sigue siendo el mismo, crear una coalición con capacidad de lograr el cambio, y con capacidad de gobernar democráticamente.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial

Foto de Manuel Orozco en una entrevista con TVC Video

Orozco: “[En Nicaragua] se han eliminado los partidos políticos”

En una entrevista con Televicentro (TVC) el 11 de abril de 2024, Manuel Orozco, director del programa Migración, Remesas y Desarrollo del Diálogo Interamericano, subrayó las acciones antidemocráticas del gobierno de Nicaragua, la captura del Estado que se desarrolla en el país y ofreció algunos estadísticas para ilustrarla.

Manuel Orozco

Interviews ˙ ˙ TVC

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State Collapse and the Protection of Remittance Payments

On April 9, 2024, the Inter-American Dialogue released the report “State Collapse and the Protection of Remittance Payments.” The report, produced by Manuel Orozco, director of the Migration, Remittances, and Development program, and Patrick Springer, program associate, examines the extent to which the current crisis in Haiti can be characterized as state failure. The report examines state failure in Haiti, its effects on the daily lives of Haitians, the Haitian economy, and how it is impacting remittance systems in the country and concludes with a strategy for ensuring successful and safe remittance transfers to the Caribbean nation.

Manuel Orozco, Patrick Springer

Reports ˙ ˙ Download the Report

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Perspectives on Remittances in 2024

On February 16, 2024, the Inter-American Dialogue’s Migration, Remittances, and Development program invited representatives from across the remittance industry to discuss the potential for developments in the industry and to discuss their outlook for 2024.

Patrick Springer

Event Summaries ˙

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State Capture in Nicaragua – The Case for International Pressure

On April 3, 2024, the Inter-American Dialogue released the memo “State Capture in Nicaragua – The Case for International Pressure.” The report, produced by Manuel Orozco, director of the Migration, Remittances, and Development program, highlights how members of the Nicaraguan government have engaged in state capture, the role of international financial institutions in preventing state captures, and provides a look into external financing, its consequences, and the Nicaraguan economy at-large.

Manuel Orozco

Reports ˙ ˙ Download the Report

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Remittances to Cuba and the Marketplace in 2024

On March 22, 2024, the Inter-American Dialogue released the report “Remittances to Cuba and the Marketplace in 2024.” The report, produced by Manuel Orozco, director of the Migration, Remittances, and Development program, analyzes money transfers to Cuba, their changing composition, the evolution of origination regulation, and this evolution’s impact on the Cuban economy.

Manuel Orozco

Reports ˙ ˙ Download the Report

Foto de gente en el mercado de Granada, Nicaragua

La economía de las remesas y el favoritismo económico del clan

En Nicaragua el estado de la economía está totalmente capturado por un régimen que se enriquece a costa del pueblo y el endeudamiento externo. En 2024, la  economía crecerá igual que en 2023 gracias a las remesas y los préstamos, pero en vez de distribución equitativa de la riqueza, lo que hay es concentración del dinero para los nuevos ricos del régimen.

Manuel Orozco

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Confidencial