Ultimately it is the Cuban government itself that will determine whether Cubans’ hopes and ambitions are met. The current deterioration in diplomatic relations is likely to strengthen those in both the United States and Cuba who favor the familiar comfort of a static Cold War antagonism over the rising expectations generated by a new US-Cuba dynamic.
President Trump’s sanctions strategy against Venezuela remains committed but ineffectual, and banning a smallish band of regime loyalists from traveling to the United States will do little to change that.
It is still too early to predict how Moreno will fare and whether his economic and anti-corruption approaches will ultimately succeed. But he has already defied predictions that he would act as Correa’s puppet.
Michael Shifter
Articles & Op-Eds ˙
˙ World Politics Review
En alianza con Banpro y la Alianza para las Migraciones en Centroamérica y México, nuestro programa de inclusión financiera generó US$960,000 en ahorros.
No one should be worried about American military action anywhere in Latin America. The notion is risible. But President Trump’s cavalier remark last week referring to a “possible military option” to deal with the increasingly dictatorial regime led by President Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela has real consequences.
¿Cuándo y cómo saldrá Venezuela de esta crisis interminable? No hay buenas opciones. Es urgente pensar instrumentos para que la comunidad internacional, una oposición unida con un liderazgo y estrategia claros, y miembros del régimen que saben que este experimento está agotado, puedan trabajar juntos para poner fin a esta tragedia en nuestro hemisferio.
The constituyente could set the stage for the Maduro government to consolidate its power, criminalize the opposition, and usher in a new and even darker phase in Venezuela’s crisis.
The Trump administration’s desire for meaningful action towards Venezuela is understandable, but it risks learning the wrong lessons from recent failures.
Defeat at the OAS meeting was the first concrete setback for US interests as a result of the Trump Administration’s apparent ambivalence about defending democratic values.
Michael Camilleri
Articles & Op-Eds ˙
˙ Latin America Goes Global
President Donald Trump’s announcement on June 1 that the United States would withdraw from the Paris climate agreement was met with widespread dismay and fears that the decision would put the entire global agreement in peril.
The roots of Central America’s challenges run deep, and the Trump Administration’s policies seem unlikely to help Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras make significant progress.
Después del anuncio de Trump, muchos líderes latinoamericanos condenaron la decisión de Estados Unidos de abandonar el Acuerdo de París y reiteraron su compromiso con los objetivos del cambio climático.