Analysis

Photo of Bolsonaro

What Does Banning Bolsonaro Mean for Brazil’s Politics?

A Latin America Advisor Q&A featuring experts’ views on former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro’s ban from public office until 2030.

Peter Hakim, Beatrice Rangel, Mariano Machado, Lucas Fernandes

Latin America Advisor ˙

Photo of event summary card Brazil Elections Video

Brazil Elections – What’s Next?

Luiz Inácio “Lula” da Silva narrowly defeated his populist, right-wing opponent Jair Bolsonaro by just over 2 million votes in the second round of elections and will begin his third term as president of Brazil in January 2023. To explore what the election means for Brazilian politics, society, and foreign relations, the Inter-American Dialogue hosted an event titled “Brazil Elections – What’s Next?” on November 7, 2022.

Patrick Springer

Event Summaries ˙

Picture of Lula

What Does Lula’s Political Comeback Mean for Brazil?

A Latin America Advisor Q&A featuring experts’ viewpoints on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s win in Brazil’s presidential election.

Peter Hakim, Joel Korn, Beatrice Rangel, Melvyn Levitsky, Nicholas Borges

Latin America Advisor ˙

Video

Bolsonaro as ‘Tropical Trump’ and his impact on Brazil’s oil markets

Jair Bolsonaro’s victory in the Brazilian presidential election was widely seen as promising for the country’s oil sector, which has been revitalized by reforms that opened the upstream market under the Temer administration, but many questions remain unanswered as the January 1 inauguration approaches. Lisa Viscidi spoke with Meghan Gordon and Brian Scheid of the Capitol Crude podcast about the future of Petrobas and its subsidiaries, fuel subsidies, and deepwater exploration under Bolsonaro. 

Lisa Viscidi, Meghan Gordon, Brian Scheid

Interviews ˙ ˙ S&P Global Platts

Video

Peter Hakim on Brazil’s Presidential Elections

Brazil prepares to elect its next president on Oct 28 as part of the second round of elections in the country. The people of Brazil will have to choose between the far-right candidate Jair Bolsonaro and Lula-backed centrist Fernando Haddad. On the night of the elections, the Inter-American Dialogue’s President Emeritus and Senior Fellow Peter Hakim commented on the topic for CGTN America with John Terrett.

Peter Hakim

Interviews ˙ ˙ CGTN

Mexico and Brazil’s Crude Politics

Until this year, resource nationalism—when a government asserts its control over a country’s natural resources—seemed to be on the wane in Latin America. But its potential return could set back Latin America’s two largest economies.

Lisa Viscidi

Articles & Op-Eds ˙ ˙ Foreign Policy

Far-right presidential candidate Jair Bolsonaro // File Photo: Bolsonaro Campaign.

Is Brazil’s Bolsonaro Unstoppable Ahead of the Runoff?

Jair Bolsonaro nearly won Brazil’s election in the first round. Is he unstoppable in the runoff, or can Fernando Haddad win?

Peter Hakim, Monica de Bolle, Rubens Barbosa, Melvyn Levitsky, Mark Langevin

Latin America Advisor ˙

Video

Análisis de las elecciones en Brasil

En este episodio de Club de Prensa, Juan Carlos Iragorri contó con la participación de Michael Shifter, presidente del Diálogo Interamericano; Raquel Godos, corresponsal de EFE; y Henrique Gomes Batista, Corresponsal De ‘O Globo’ – Brasil. Los participantes analizaron los cambios en las elecciones en Brasil y la investigación del expresidente ecuatoriano Rafael Correa por el caso Odebrecht.

Michael Shifter, Raquel Godos, Henrique Gomes Batista, Juan Carlos Iragorri

Interviews ˙ ˙ NTN24

Far-right candidate Jair Bolsonaro was seriously wounded in a knife attack. // Photo: @FlavioBolsonaro.

How Will the Latest Developments Alter the Race in Brazil?

With Lula out of the race and Bolsonaro in the hospital after a knife attack, how is Brazil’s October presidential election shaping up?

Peter Hakim, Monica de Bolle, Jana Nelson, Erich Decat, Mauricio Santoro

Latin America Advisor ˙