Remittances would grow by just 2% in 2025 if 500,000 of the migrants already living in the United States illegally were deported.
Perspectives on Remittance Flows in 2025
Contact: Gemma Givens | press@thedialogue.org
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Remittances would grow by just 2% in 2025 if 500,000 of the migrants already living in the United States illegally were deported.
In the region, the growing diversification of organized criminal groups’ activities is increasingly evident. From the Pablo Escobar-style bosses of the past, there has been a shift to criminal networks. The main consequence of this change is that institutions need more sophisticated strategies. Arresting the leaders of an organization does not always yield great results, as power vacuums are often created, leading to increased violence, instability, and the evolution of other criminal groups. International cooperation is necessary because these organizations have no geographical boundaries (…).
Many of Trump’s constituents, his voters, members of Congress are from South Florida that represent Cuban Americans, and Venezuelan Americans. The idea that their loved ones and their family members will be completely barred from entering the U.S. is going to cause some serious concern and potential opposition to these policies.
Mr Trump’s policies are unlikely to stop migration entirely. In fact, his aggressive approach could push more people into trying to reach the United States by increasing economic instability, which, along with corruption, drives emigration. Countries struggling to provide jobs and services will be hard hit by any fall in remittances, which make up one in four dollars circulating in the region. If just 10% of those under orders to be removed and 65% of those detained are deported, the annual growth in remittances sent to Nicaragua would drop from 55% in 2023 to 6% this year.
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