Perspectives on Remittance Flows in 2025

Press Mentions

Remittances would grow by just 2% in 2025 if 500,000 of the migrants already living in the United States illegally were deported. 

Manuel Orozco

In the region, the growing diversification of organized criminal groups’ activities is increasingly evident. From the Pablo Escobar-style bosses of the past, there has been a shift to criminal networks. The main consequence of this change is that institutions need more sophisticated strategies. Arresting the leaders of an organization does not always yield great results, as power vacuums are often created, leading to increased violence, instability, and the evolution of other criminal groups. International cooperation is necessary because these organizations have no geographical boundaries (…).

Tamara Taraciuk Broner

Many of Trump’s constituents, his voters, members of Congress are from South Florida that represent Cuban Americans, and Venezuelan Americans. The idea that their loved ones and their family members will be completely barred from entering the U.S. is going to cause some serious concern and potential opposition to these policies.

Rebecca Bill Chavez

Mr Trump’s policies are unlikely to stop migration entirely. In fact, his aggressive approach could push more people into trying to reach the United States by increasing economic instability, which, along with corruption, drives emigration. Countries struggling to provide jobs and services will be hard hit by any fall in remittances, which make up one in four dollars circulating in the region. If just 10% of those under orders to be removed and 65% of those detained are deported, the annual growth in remittances sent to Nicaragua would drop from 55% in 2023 to 6% this year.

Manuel Orozco

Unlike France and some other EU countries that want no further delays in Mercosur country compliance with the EUDR because they want to protect their market from Mercosur agricultural goods, some EU countries, like Germany and Italy, wouldn’t mind a postponement of compliance with the EUDR because such trade flexibilization will expand their exports, especially for value-added products like cars.

Alfonso Blanco

There is no factual basis to say that Venezuela is in better shape. [Deportation flights carrying Venezuelan migrants living in the United States are] a political decision.

Tamara Taraciuk Broner

La prensa independiente es un pilar fundamental de la democracia, esencial para la rendición de cuentas y la transparencia. En Venezuela, el gobierno ha cerrado sistemáticamente medios de comunicación y ha impuesto un bloqueo informativo, obligando a los periodistas a desarrollar nuevos métodos para llegar a sus audiencias.

Tamara Taraciuk Broner

[El acuerdo entre Bukele y Trump, para enviar delincuentes extranjeros a El Salvador, le atribuirá una victoria mediática a Trump pero,] ni bajará el delito ni dejará de haber migración ilegal por enviar a unas cuantas miles de personas a la afamada cárcel de Bukele.

Tamara Taraciuk Broner
Very little is known about Alberto Trentini’s detention. But we do know that the Venezuelan government uses the detention of foreigners for a kind of horrendous policy. What the Nicolás Maduro regime usually does is use political prisoners as bargaining chips. This is very evident in the case of the United States, with which there had been negotiations in the past for the release of detained Americans. Now it seems to be doing exactly the same with foreigners from other countries.
Tamara Taraciuk Broner

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