While Mr. Trump has railed against Mexico’s drug lords, it has mostly been in the context of building a wall to keep the “bad hombres” south of the border. He has shown less interest in helping to build up Mexico’s frail institutions to dampen violence and shore up governability. Trump will try to conflate this with migration. He will say: “they are all criminals in Mexico, and that’s why we have to build a bigger wall.”

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