There’ll be a new generation in power, and it looks very likely that Díaz-Canel will be president. The question is how much authority he’ll have. Raúl will continue to be head of the Cuban Communist Party, and Díaz-Canel has not really been tested as to what extent he’s committed to continuing the revolution. He will have to establish his legitimacy, which doesn’t come from the revolution — and his margin for maneuver, at least at the outset, will be fairly limited.

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