LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

May 24, 2023

What Will New Officials Mean for Brazil’s Rate Hikes?

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who has criticized the central bank’s interest rate hikes, made two key appointments at the bank this month. // File Photo: Agência Brasil.

Q

A

Allison Fedirka, director of analysis at Geopolitical Futures: “Lula now faces a completely different Brazil as compared to his previous terms. Before, Lula had a booming economy, a glut of soy dollars and he oversaw the Selic rate drop by 15 points to just over 10 percent. Now, he faces a declining economy with strong spending limits, high inflation and slow growth. Furthermore, this is his first time in office with an autonomous central bank. Lula believes the higher interest rates discourage investment; the central bank has the benchmark rate at 13.75 percent to tame inflation. Lula desperately wants to curb rising prices because it will help him maintain popular support and spur economic growth (in part through investments and borrowing). Galípolo and Aquino dos Santos were deliberately selected with the understanding they will support Lula’s views for lower interest rates and greater state participation in strategic areas. While they can weigh in directly on deliberations, they will not necessarily be able to…”

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The Inter-American Dialogue publishes the Latin America Advisor every business day for a distinguished membership of informed corporate leaders, scholars, and government officials invested in Latin America’s development and future. The Advisor‘s highly regarded Q&A section covers questions submitted by subscribers themselves. Commentators regularly include heads of state, business leaders, diplomats, economists, analysts, and thought leaders from around the world. Many of the world’s largest and fastest-growing companies subscribe to the Advisor. To subscribe, click here. For terms and conditions, click here. For more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.

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Carl David
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Merike Blofield
Professor of Political Science,
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Devry Boughner Vorwerk
CEO,
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Joyce Chang
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J.P. Morgan

Marlene Fernández
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President Emeritus,
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Adtalem Global Education

Jon E. Huenemann
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James R. Jones
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Senior Director,
Int’l Gov’t Relations,
Exxon Mobil

Barbara Kotschwar
Professor of Political Economy,
Georgetown University

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US Education Finance Group

Nicolas Mariscal
Chairman,
Grupo Marhnos

Thomas F. McLarty III
Chairman,
McLarty Associates

Beatrice Rangel
Director,
AMLA Consulting

Ernesto Revilla
Head of Latin American Economics, Citi

Gustavo Roosen
President,
IESA

Andrés Rozental
President, Rozental &
Asociados

Shelly Shetty
Managing Director,
Sovereigns, Fitch

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