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LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

April 7, 2023

Will Brazil’s Plan for Peace Talks on Ukraine Take Root?

Celso Amorim, the Brazilian government’s top foreign policy advisor, met last week in Moscow with Russian President Vladimir Putin. // File Photo: Brazilian Government.

Q

  • Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva proposed the creation of a group of countries, potentially including China, India and Indonesia, in order to mediate peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. China, Turkey and several other countries have also sought to make diplomatic pushes to end the war in Ukraine. What role are Brazil and other Latin American countries playing in the war? How are Lula’s proposals different from those of other countries? What are the reasons behind Lula’s efforts to position Brazil as a mediator of the conflict?

A

Peter Hakim, member of the Advisor board and president emeritus of the Inter-American Dialogue: “Lula is on a sensible track. Negotiations offer the best solution to the Ukraine-Russia war. The alternatives project a bleaker, more destructive outcome. Russia might win, ending Ukraine’s independence and humbling the United States and NATO. Like other recent conflicts, the war could persist for years. A prolonged stalemate or near defeat could provoke a nuclear response from a Russia in desperation. Could NATO quickly incorporate and extend protection to Ukraine? That’s not a solution that anyone should count on. Lula is today one of the few international leaders who might have the political muscle and credibility to manage a serious negotiation of the Ukraine-Russia war. Its success, or even real progress, although far from guaranteed, would enhance Brazil’s global stature and influence—which has…”

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The Inter-American Dialogue publishes the Latin America Advisor every business day for a distinguished membership of informed corporate leaders, scholars, and government officials invested in Latin America’s development and future. The Advisor‘s highly regarded Q&A section covers questions submitted by subscribers themselves. Commentators regularly include heads of state, business leaders, diplomats, economists, analysts, and thought leaders from around the world. Many of the world’s largest and fastest-growing companies subscribe to the Advisor. To subscribe, click here. For terms and conditions, click here. For more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.
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board of advisors

Diego Arria
Director,
Columbus Group

Merike Blofield
Professor of Political Science,
University of Hamburg

Devry Boughner Vorwerk
CEO,
DevryBV Sustainable Strategies

Joyce Chang
Global Head of Research,
J.P. Morgan

Marlene Fernández
Corporate Vice President for Gov’t Relations,
Arcos Dorados (McDonald’s)

Peter Hakim
President Emeritus,
Inter-American Dialogue

Donna Hrinak
Director,
Adtalem Global Education

Jon E. Huenemann
Council Member,
GLG Inc.

James R. Jones
Chairman,
Monarch Global Strategies

Craig Kelly
Senior Director,
Int’l Gov’t Relations,
Exxon Mobil

Barbara Kotschwar
Professor of Political Economy,
Georgetown University

John Maisto
Director,
US Education Finance Group

Nicolas Mariscal
Chairman,
Grupo Marhnos

Thomas F. McLarty III
Chairman,
McLarty Associates

Beatrice Rangel
Director,
AMLA Consulting

Ernesto Revilla
Head of Latin American Economics, Citi

Gustavo Roosen
President,
IESA

Andrés Rozental
President, Rozental &
Asociados

Shelly Shetty
Managing Director,
Sovereigns, Fitch

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