LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

January 27, 2023

Can Massa’s Policies Contain Argentina’s Rate of Inflation?

Sergio Massa, who became Argentina’s economy minister last August, is facing an annual inflation rate of just under 100 percent. // File Photo: @SergioMassa via Twitter.

Q

A

Miguel Kiguel, executive director of EconViews in Buenos Aires: “Argentina has been the preferred laboratory to study inflation for more than seven decades and has the answers to almost every question you are afraid to ask. Triple-digit rates of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, hyperinflation in 1989 and 1991, single-digit rates in the 1990s and now, one more time, it is approaching the dreaded 100 percent rate. A few reflections on the current episode, which started during the Néstor and Cristina administration, could help. The main underlying problem is a large fiscal deficit that in contrast to many countries cannot be financed in the bond markets. The recurrent defaults on domestic and foreign debt have closed that venue. One of the lessons of the Argentine inflation process is that expectations matter, and they generate persistence or inertia that complicate stabilization efforts. Anchoring expectations is at the center of the problem and…”

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The Inter-American Dialogue publishes the Latin America Advisor every business day for a distinguished membership of informed corporate leaders, scholars, and government officials invested in Latin America’s development and future. The Advisor‘s highly regarded Q&A section covers questions submitted by subscribers themselves. Commentators regularly include heads of state, business leaders, diplomats, economists, analysts, and thought leaders from around the world. Many of the world’s largest and fastest-growing companies subscribe to the Advisor. To subscribe, click here. For terms and conditions, click here. For more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.

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