Peter Hakim, member of the Advisor board and president emeritus of the Inter-American Dialogue: “Brazil’s political drama continues. Act I ended with Lula’s election, albeit by an unexpected, ultra-slim margin. Act II now starts with Bolsonaro’s reaction. We were forewarned that he might not acknowledge defeat—and Lula’s narrow victory makes it easier to claim, Trump-like, that the vote was stolen and refuse to surrender the presidency. While some important allies have accepted the result, Bolsonaro retains the loyalty of many other political leaders. And he remains capable of inciting protests across Brazil. So far, the country’s institutions have shown a significant measure of resilience, however. Many state and local governments, for example, rejected Bolsonaro’s indifference to the pandemic. The Supreme Court and the Electoral Tribunal will refuse any demands to rerun the election. Still, if police, who are mostly in Bolsonaro’s camp, are…”