Cynthia McClintock, professor of political science and international affairs at The George Washington University: “The investigation is a serious threat to Castillo’s presidency. A recent tape recording between Castillo’s first transportation and communications minister, Juan Silva, and businessman Zamir Villaverde manifests the ‘criminal network’ for corruption in public-works contracting within the ministry alleged by prosecutors. Although the tape does not directly implicate Castillo, it deepens questions about his ties to Silva, who had no qualifications for his ministerial position but was a Castillo friend, hailing from Castillo’s hometown. Although it is unlikely that the case meets the constitutional criteria for Castillo’s loss of immunity from prosecution, it is likely that the ongoing investigation will provide the kind of evidence of ‘moral incapacity’ that would push on-the-fence lawmakers toward impeachment. Also, this threat to Castillo’s presidency is more serious than previous threats because he has lost popular support; his approval rating is only about 20 percent. However…”