Carlos Morales, director for Latin America sovereigns at FitchRatings: “Mexico’s latest economic indicators continue to point toward a gradual recovery but well below regional and rating peers. We expect real GDP growth will slow down to 2 percent in 2022 and remain at that level next year. The real GDP level will not reach pre-pandemic levels until 2023, lagging other emerging economies. The limited fiscal impulse, coupled with an early reversal of the monetary policy easing, restrained the economic recovery as authorities prioritized macroeconomic stability. Risks are tilted to the downside given ongoing external disruptions to energy prices and supply chains (such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and China’s lockdown measures). External demand from the United States will remain supportive, but on a lesser scale than in 2021. Worse-than-expected U.S. economic growth remains a key risk for Mexico’s recovery. Private investment continues to underperform as a pattern of political interventions generates unease among investors…”
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Gene Kuleta
Editor
P. 202.463.2920
E. gkuleta@thedialogue.org
Carl David
Goette-Luciak
Reporter
Nili Blanck
Reporter
Diego Arria
Director,
Columbus Group
Merike Blofield
Professor of Political Science,
University of Hamburg
Devry Boughner Vorwerk
CEO,
DevryBV Sustainable Strategies
Joyce Chang
Global Head of Research,
J.P. Morgan
Marlene Fernández
Corporate Vice President for Gov’t Relations,
Arcos Dorados (McDonald’s)
Peter Hakim
President Emeritus,
Inter-American Dialogue
Donna Hrinak
Director,
Adtalem Global Education
Jon E. Huenemann
Council Member,
GLG Inc.
James R. Jones
Chairman,
Monarch Global Strategies
Craig Kelly
Senior Director,
Int’l Gov’t Relations,
Exxon Mobil
Barbara Kotschwar
Professor of Political Economy,
Georgetown University
John Maisto
Director,
US Education Finance Group
Nicolas Mariscal
Chairman,
Grupo Marhnos
Thomas F. McLarty III
Chairman,
McLarty Associates
Beatrice Rangel
Director,
AMLA Consulting
Ernesto Revilla
Head of Latin American Economics, Citi
Gustavo Roosen
President,
IESA
Andrés Rozental
President, Rozental &
Asociados
Shelly Shetty
Managing Director,
Sovereigns, Fitch
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