LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

April 5, 2022

Have Argentina and the IMF Reached a Sustainable Deal?

Argentine President Alberto Fernández’s government finalized a debt-restructuring deal with the International Monetary Fund, but the plan has led to a rift in the ruling coalition. // File Photo: Argentine Government.

Q

A

Kezia McKeague, regional director at McLarty Associates: “For Argentina’s famously volatile economy, the long-awaited debt restructuring with the IMF is good news—for the short term. Despite justified criticism of the agreement’s lack of ambition, it avoids the worst-case scenario of an imminent sovereign default and greater financial turmoil just as Argentina risks depleting its international reserves. The IMF did not demand significant belt-tightening apart from the politically sensitive issue of energy subsidies; instead, the program consists of a very gradual fiscal adjustment that relies on improved tax collection, without a structural reform agenda that could put Argentina’s economy on a more sustainable path. Economy Minister Martín Guzmán succeeded in arguing that a new deal must preclude austerity measures that could hurt economic recovery after a prolonged recession exacerbated by the Covid-19 pandemic. For critics, however, the agreement simply punts Argentina’s structural problems to the next administration…”

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The Inter-American Dialogue publishes the Latin America Advisor every business day for a distinguished membership of informed corporate leaders, scholars, and government officials invested in Latin America’s development and future. The Advisor‘s highly regarded Q&A section covers questions submitted by subscribers themselves. Commentators regularly include heads of state, business leaders, diplomats, economists, analysts, and thought leaders from around the world. Many of the world’s largest and fastest-growing companies subscribe to the Advisor. To subscribe, click here. For terms and conditions, click here. For more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.

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Staff

Gene Kuleta
Editor
P. 202.463.2920
E. gkuleta@thedialogue.org

Carl David
Goette-Luciak
Reporter

Nili Blanck
Reporter

board of advisors

Diego Arria
Director,
Columbus Group

Merike Blofield
Professor of Political Science,
University of Hamburg

Devry Boughner Vorwerk
CEO,
DevryBV Sustainable Strategies

Joyce Chang
Global Head of Research,
J.P. Morgan

Marlene Fernández
Corporate Vice President for Gov’t Relations,
Arcos Dorados (McDonald’s)

Peter Hakim
President Emeritus,
Inter-American Dialogue

Donna Hrinak
Director,
Adtalem Global Education

Jon E. Huenemann
Council Member,
GLG Inc.

James R. Jones
Chairman,
Monarch Global Strategies

Craig Kelly
Senior Director,
Int’l Gov’t Relations,
Exxon Mobil

Barbara Kotschwar
Professor of Political Economy,
Georgetown University

John Maisto
Director,
US Education Finance Group

Nicolas Mariscal
Chairman,
Grupo Marhnos

Thomas F. McLarty III
Chairman,
McLarty Associates

Beatrice Rangel
Director,
AMLA Consulting

Ernesto Revilla
Head of Latin American Economics, Citi

Gustavo Roosen
President,
IESA

Andrés Rozental
President, Rozental &
Asociados

Shelly Shetty
Managing Director,
Sovereigns, Fitch

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