Is a Global Growth Slowdown Threatening Latin America?
What effects will downbeat economic sentiment have on Latin American countries? Which ones are most at risk?
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This report analyzes the current financial position and remitting behaviors of migrants living in the United States in the context of the 2008-2009 economic crisis. The report is based on findings from a survey of 2,000 Latin American and Caribbean migrants residing in five major U.S. cities. The findings are also compared to earlier surveys from 2009 and 2010 that characterized the economic position of migrants from Latin America and the Caribbean during the 2008-2009 U.S. recession. The results reveal important nuances of migrants’ economic well-being and transnational engagement.
Remittances constitute a key form of migrant transnational engagement. In 2012, remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean reached over US$61 billion, representing a major source of income for many families, communities, and countries in the region. Migrant remittances can serve an important role in reducing poverty and enabling development. Moreover, remittances often supplement other sources of income, allowing recipients to make greater investments in their health, education, housing and/or businesses.
It is essential to note that remittances are the product of a great deal of hard work and sacrifice on the part of migrants. When migrants are economically vulnerable, so is their ability to remit. The graph below shows how remittances to Latin America and the Caribbean dropped during the 2008-2009 U.S. recession, when migrants faced greater difficulties in the labor market.
As the U.S. economy has shown signs of recovery, Latin American and Caribbean migrants have generally been able to regain employment. Dominicans, Haitians, and Jamaicans have shown slight increases in unemployment, however.
Employment alone does not provide a complete picture of Latin American and Caribbean migrants’ current economic situation. This survey considers a wide range of factors, including savings, debt levels, and risk mitigation strategies to provide a nuanced portrait of economic resilience and vulnerability among migrants.
The economic conditions of Latin American and Caribbean migrants have improved only modestly since 2009. Despite some signs of recovery, migrants remain in a vulnerable position in terms of their income, savings, and debt levels. In many cases, their vulnerability can also be understood as a product of their legal status.
Key findings of this report include:
In light of this research, migrants are in a slightly better economic position than they were in 2009, but remain vulnerable in a number of ways. To ensure the economic well-being of migrants – and the families back home who rely on their economic contributions – steps must be taken to enhance financial access and economic opportunities.
What effects will downbeat economic sentiment have on Latin American countries? Which ones are most at risk?
While some concerns have been expressed about the expanding Chinese footprint across the region, most serious analysts and government authorities view the deepening economic relationship as a largely positive development for both China and Latin America.
与美国一样,中国不应该从整个地区范围来处理与拉美的关系,而应该一个国家一个国家地慢慢耕耘。