LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

September 8, 2025

Will Mercosur & Canada Be Able to Reach a Trade Deal?

Mercosur and Canada plan to resume talks on a potential free trade deal next month. Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney are pictured in June. // File Photo: Lula Oficial via CC BY-SA 2.0.

Q

A

Gregory Ross, associate for Brazil and the Southern Cone at McLarty Associates: “Since launching negotiations in Asunción in 2018, Canada and Mercosur have faced a shifting trade landscape. Both Canada and Brazil, each about $2.2 trillion economies, now face steep and unpredictable U.S. tariffs despite historically integrated trade ties with Washington, accelerating their push for export diversification. For Canada, an agreement could reduce reliance on the United States, easing Mercosur market barriers for its machinery and industrial exports. For Mercosur, it would add to recent momentum following deals with Singapore and the four-state EFTA bloc and complement its E.U. pact, which, if ratified, would create a free trade zone of 700 million people. For Mercosur’s smaller members—though subject to less punishing U.S. tariffs—Canada also offers greater global access. Paraguay aims to build on newly opened North American markets for its beef by securing additional opportunities for emerging sectors like…”

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The Inter-American Dialogue publishes the Latin America Advisor every business day for a distinguished membership of informed corporate leaders, scholars, and government officials invested in Latin America’s development and future. The Advisor‘s highly regarded Q&A section covers questions submitted by subscribers themselves. Commentators regularly include heads of state, business leaders, diplomats, economists, analysts, and thought leaders from around the world. Many of the world’s largest and fastest-growing companies subscribe to the Advisor. To subscribe, click here. For terms and conditions, click here. For more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.

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