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LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

February 11, 2025

Who Has the Edge in Ecuador’s Presidential Vote?

Incumbent President Daniel Noboa and former lawmaker Luisa González on Sunday advanced to the second round of Ecuador’s presidential election, which will be held in April. // File Photos: Ecuadorean Government, Facebook Page of Luisa González.

Q

A

Laura Lizarazo, Ecuador lead analyst at Control Risks in Bogotá: “González, unlike Noboa, is backed by a well-established party with a sound voter base, clear ideological foundations and a membership network with a rooted presence in several provinces. Her chances to gather fragmented votes among left- and center-leaning citizens, including amid powerful Indigenous organizations, labor unions and students are greater than Noboa’s, who already has the vote of those who oppose a correismo comeback. However, being a candidate with presidential prerogatives and faculties, besides being a business tycoon with an extensive supporter network among traditional media, Noboa has a better communication and marketing platform to attract young voters. And he can still capitalize on the deeply rooted rejection that Correa sparks among at least 30 percent of Ecuadoreans. Citizens’ main concerns are the country’s persisting violence and insecurity (34.8 percent), unemployment (21.4 percent) and poor economic performance (12.6 percent). Nostalgia about a peaceful, pre-crisis Ecuador…”

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