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LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

October 11, 2024

Who Has the Upper Hand After Brazil’s Municipal Elections?

In São Paulo, leftist challenger Guilherme Boulos will face incumbent right-wing Mayor Ricardo Nunes (L-R) in a runoff election later this month. // File Photos: Facebook Page of Guilherme Boulos, Brazilian Government.

Q

  • In Brazil’s municipal elections on Oct. 6, center-right incumbent São Paulo Mayor Ricardo Nunes advanced to an Oct. 27 runoff against his leftist challenger, Guilherme Boulos. The mayoral race in Brazil’s largest city was among the elections in 5,500 Brazilian municipalities, which also included mayoral contests in Rio de Janeiro, Salvador and Porto Alegre. What were the most significant victories and losses in the election? How will the elections affect the directions of Brazil’s cities, and what will be the impact on the country’s federal government and its agenda? Which issues proved to be the most important in the elections?

A

Mariano Machado, Americas principal analyst at Verisk Maplecroft: “With Brazil’s top 100 cities by population representing 38 percent of the electorate, municipal elections often serve as a bellwether for wider electoral tendencies—particularly how the next Congress will look. Large centrist parties emerged as the biggest winners, making this a continuity election. Excluding cities without a second round, re-election rates hit 82 percent—the highest in decades. National figures—for better or worse—also shaped results. Former President Jair Bolsonaro’s influence proves resilient: Of 89 candidates he endorsed, 27 were elected, and 17 advanced to the second round. But influence does not equal control…”

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The Inter-American Dialogue publishes the Latin America Advisor every business day for a distinguished membership of informed corporate leaders, scholars, and government officials invested in Latin America’s development and future. The Advisor‘s highly regarded Q&A section covers questions submitted by subscribers themselves. Commentators regularly include heads of state, business leaders, diplomats, economists, analysts, and thought leaders from around the world. Many of the world’s largest and fastest-growing companies subscribe to the Advisor. To subscribe, click here. For terms and conditions, click here. For more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.
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Merike Blofield
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Devry Boughner Vorwerk
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Joyce Chang
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Nicolas Mariscal
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Thomas F. McLarty III
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Ernesto Revilla
Head of Latin American Economics, Citi

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Andrés Rozental
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Shelly Shetty
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