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LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

February 23, 2024

Will Bolsonaro’s Legal Troubles Energize His Base?

Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro faces an investigation into an alleged plot to overturn the country’s 2022 presidential election. He denies wrongdoing and has not been charged. // File Photo: @jairbolsonaro via X.

Q

  • Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro has become mired in an ongoing investigation into an alleged coup plot aimed at overturning Brazil’s 2022 presidential election. Bolsonaro, who has not been arrested or charged, denies wrongdoing and has called on his supporters to demonstrate. Police seized Bolsonaro’s passport, and some of his allies have been arrested. With Brazil’s October municipal elections looming, what impact will the case have on voters? Do the allegations damage Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party and its electoral prospects, or will the controversy energize his base? What does the case say about the strength and functioning of Brazil’s institutions?

A

Rubens Barbosa, former ambassador of Brazil to the United States: “The conservative movement is here to stay, and conservatives will vote for candidates supported by Bolsonaro and his party in the municipal election. Bolsonaro’s political influence will eventually fade, but the right will stay. Bolsonaro and his party will continue to claim that they have been scrutinized and indicted for political reasons. The recent events may energize his followers and the pro-Bolsonaro rally scheduled for Sunday in São Paulo will show how much real power and political influence he has. The 2022 election and the investigations led by the Supreme Court and the federal police all demonstrate that….”

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The Inter-American Dialogue publishes the Latin America Advisor every business day for a distinguished membership of informed corporate leaders, scholars, and government officials invested in Latin America’s development and future. The Advisor‘s highly regarded Q&A section covers questions submitted by subscribers themselves. Commentators regularly include heads of state, business leaders, diplomats, economists, analysts, and thought leaders from around the world. Many of the world’s largest and fastest-growing companies subscribe to the Advisor. To subscribe, click here. For terms and conditions, click here. For more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.
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