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LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

March 18, 2022

Will Brazil See Strong Economic Growth This Year?

Brazil’s economy grew 4.5 percent this year, but the country faces economic headwinds, experts say below. São Paulo is pictured. // File Photo: Webysther Nunes via Creative Commons.

Q

A

Manuel Orozco, director for sovereign and international public finance ratings at S&P Global: “Our BB-/Stable rating on Brazil incorporates moderately weak economic growth prospects over the coming two to three years, partially explained by the country’s weak institutional capacity to pass structural reforms. Even before recent events of volatility, S&P Global was expecting an economic slowdown, due to more restrictive financial conditions, withdrawal of fiscal stimulus and uncertainty regarding the election outcome. Higher commodity prices will boost Brazil’s exports. That said, the economy will continue to struggle with supply chain constraints, high energy prices, resulting in higher inflation (and for a longer period), and a tighter than previously expected monetary policy. Economic growth in 2022 is unlikely to exceed 0.5 percent. Adding to challenging economic conditions, Brazil’s next president will also need to address large fiscal deficits, which we expect to exceed 6 percent of GDP during 2022-2024 and net general government debt levels trending toward…”

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The Inter-American Dialogue publishes the Latin America Advisor every business day for a distinguished membership of informed corporate leaders, scholars, and government officials invested in Latin America’s development and future. The Advisor‘s highly regarded Q&A section covers questions submitted by subscribers themselves. Commentators regularly include heads of state, business leaders, diplomats, economists, analysts, and thought leaders from around the world. Many of the world’s largest and fastest-growing companies subscribe to the Advisor. To subscribe, click here. For terms and conditions, click here. For more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.

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Gene Kuleta
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E. gkuleta@thedialogue.org

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Director,
Columbus Group

Merike Blofield
Professor of Political Science,
University of Hamburg

Devry Boughner Vorwerk
CEO,
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Joyce Chang
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J.P. Morgan

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Senior Director,
Int’l Gov’t Relations,
Exxon Mobil

Barbara Kotschwar
Professor of Political Economy,
Georgetown University

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US Education Finance Group

Nicolas Mariscal
Chairman,
Grupo Marhnos

Thomas F. McLarty III
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Beatrice Rangel
Director,
AMLA Consulting

Ernesto Revilla
Head of Latin American Economics, Citi

Gustavo Roosen
President,
IESA

Andrés Rozental
President, Rozental &
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Shelly Shetty
Managing Director,
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