LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

Financial AMERICA ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

August 26, 2025

What’s the Outlook for Mexico’s Banking Sector?

The Mexican unit of BBVA saw a decline in its profits for the second quarter due to currency depreciation, though underlying trends were positive. // File Photo: Rochu_2008 via Adobe Stock.

Q

A

Jesus Sotomayor, director at S&P Global Financial Institution Ratings: “The macroeconomic environment in Mexico remains challenging amid uncertainty over potential tariffs and a broader economic slowdown. These factors could constrain credit growth and add pressure on asset quality indicators. Nevertheless, we still expect loan expansion of around 6 percent in real terms—boosted primary by the still-resilient consumer trend and large corporate financial needs, while non-performing loans plus net charge offs as a percentage of total loans should remain contained at roughly 5.5 percent. Looking ahead, banks will face the challenge of sustaining margins and profitability in the context of further interest rates cuts. Large banks remain better positioned, supported by their robust funding sources derived from their broad retail deposit base, which provides ample financial flexibility to absorb foreseeable declines in policy rates. In contrast, mid-sized and small banks might find it more difficult to secure favorable funding terms…”

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ABOUT THE financial services ADVISOR

Covering Latin America’s banking and insurance sectors, remittances trends and data, micro lending issues, new technologies in the industry, anti-money laundering regulations, and much more, the Inter-American Dialogue’s biweekly Financial Services Advisor, a sister publication of the Latin America Advisor, gives readers fresh insight and diverse viewpoints from financial sector leaders. To subscribe or for more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.

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Staff

Gene Kuleta
Editor
P. 202.463.2920
E. gkuleta@thedialogue.org

Carl David
Goette-Luciak
Reporter

Nili Blanck
Reporter

board of advisors

Ernesto Armenteros
Vice Chairman
of the Board,
Banco de Ahorro y Credito Union

Jimena Blanco
Chief Analyst,
Verisk Maplecroft

Richard Child
CEO,
Mattrix Group

Michael Diaz
Partner,
Diaz, Reus & Targ, LLP

Ernesto Fernández Holmann
Chairman of the Board,
Ayucus

Desiree Green
Vice President,
Int’l Gov’t Affairs,
Prudential Financial

Earl Jarrett
Deputy Chairman & CEO
The Jamaica National Group

Barbara Kotschwar
Professor of Political Economy,
Georgetown University

Thomas Morante
Attorney,
Carlton Fields

Manuel Orozco
Senior Fellow,
Inter-American Dialogue

Adalberto Palma Gómez
Senior Partner,
Aperture SC

Rodolfo Pittaluga
Adjunct Professor,
Florida International University
College of Law

Roberto Teixeira da Costa
Founder & Board Member Emeritus, CEBRI

Mario Trujillo
CEO,
DolEx Dollar Express

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