Energy Advisor 2025-11-14 – Inter-American Dialogue

LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR

Energy ADVISOR

A daily publication Of the dialogue

November 14, 2025

Can Global Output of Sustainable Fuels Be Quadrupled?

Nations are currently discussing a proposal to boost sustainable fuel production at the COP30 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Brazil. Brazil is the world’s second-largest producer of ethanol fuel. // File Photo: UP3D Studio via Adobe Stock.

Q

Brazil, India and Japan last month agreed to a draft declaration calling for a quadrupling of global low- and zero-carbon fuel production by 2035. The proposal, which will be discussed at this month’s COP30 U.N. climate change summit in Belém, Brazil, would encourage countries to boost their production of biofuels produced from agricultural products such as sugar cane and corn, as well as alternative fuels including green and blue hydrogen. What policy actions are needed to build economies of scale in sustainable fuel markets, both in Latin America and around the world? How likely is Brazil’s push to produce more sustainable fuel to be successful at COP30? To what extent does it appear that nations will substantively commit to reducing carbon emissions at the summit?

A

Priscila Bastos Pinheiro, principal analyst for biofuels analytics at S&P Global Commodity Insights: “Biofuels are poised to play a pivotal role in the energy transition, particularly in hard-to-abate sectors such as aviation. First-generation biofuels, including ethanol and fatty-acid methyl esters (FAME), will remain critical for meeting decarbonization targets. To further support this sector, strategies such as sustainable agriculture, enhanced logistics and infrastructure, investments in renewable energy and potential applications of carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) can positively influence the carbon intensity of low-carbon fuels. Developing the hydrogen market can also contribute to this goal. However, the role of biofuels cannot be overstated. The recent commitment by Brazil, India and Japan…”

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ABOUT THE Energy ADVISOR

A sister publication of the Inter-American Dialogue’s daily Latin America Advisor, the weekly Energy Advisor captures fresh analysis from business leaders and government officials on the most important developments in oil and gas, biofuels, the power sector, renewables, new technologies, and the policy debates shaping the future of energy in the Western Hemisphere and beyond. To subscribe or for more information, contact Gene Kuleta, editor of the Advisor, at gkuleta@thedialogue.org.